[Thanks to Alan Fox for asking questions about YEC and Elizabeth Liddle for her generosity in hosting this discussion]
YEC part 1 gave some theological and philosophical context to the case for YEC, and part 2 will hopefully focus solely on empirical and scientific considerations. Part 2 challenges the mainstream view that the fossil record is hundreds of millions of years old.
If empirical considerations alone suggest the fossil record is not more than a several million years old, does it matter on balance that the data don’t exactly arrive at 6,000 years old? I think not. As far as I’m concerned, if the fossil record is not anywhere near as old as the mainstream claims, the creationists will have won the essentials of their case independent of whether the universe and Earth are billions of years old. Creationists can afford to lose the issue of the age of the Earth and universe, but Darwinists cannot survive the fossils record being only a few million years old. But as I demonstrated in YEC part 1, time isn’t the friend of evolution anyway, it is an enemy since nature tends to erode complexity, not construct it.
If the age of a skyscraper built with 1 billion year old rocks does not imply the skyscraper was built 1 billion years ago, the age of the fossil record can be formally separated from the age of the universe and age of the Earth and age of rocks. The time of death of someone can be determined forensically and the process doesn’t rely on the age of the Earth or universe or rocks around deceased to make a reasonable inference. The age fossil record is about establishing the time of death of the fossil not the rocks the fossil is buried in. The age of when a strata was formed is independent of the age of the rocks that form the strata.
When I ask geologists how do permineralized or well-preserved fossils form. As a matter of principle, does the entombment happen quickly or slowly? “Quickly” is the usual reply. Why? Rapid burial with minerals and water are the necessary ingredients to effect preservation. If the creature dies and is left out in the open to scavangers and decay processes, it will not fossilize. So as a matter of principle, such fossil bearing formations didn’t take millions of years to form. Thus one can’t argue the fossil record is old because it took millions of years to bury them! In the case of wooly mammoths with undigested tropical vegetation in their stomachs, they’d have to be instantly buried in snow to effect the necessary freezing to preserve the vegetables in their stomachs — not millions of years. That’s the other thing, why are the mammoths in a tropical environment one moment and then buried in a cataclysmic blizzard the next, and then never unfrozen till discovered in Siberia? Hmm…..
So like a detective, we’ve established certain fossils are buried rapidly, not over millions of years. The question remains when it happened, or maybe when it couldn’t have happened.
The mean sea level of the US is here is around 760 meters. Erosion of a mere 10 microns per year would wipe 760 meters into the sea in 76 million years. A sheet of paper, by the way is 100 microns thick. The slowest mean erosion rate I’ve found in literature is 2.5 microns per year, and even that would wipe out the Phanerozoic in many areas.
I point to this empirical study by Princeton geologists Judson and Ritter: Judson and Ritter
Taking the average height of the United States above sea level as 2300 feet and assuming that the rates of erosion reported here are representative, we find that it would take 11 to 12 million years to move to the oceans a volume equivalent to that of the United States lying above sea level. At this rate there has been enough time since the Cretaceous to destroy such a land mass six times. Accepting this figure creates the problem of maintaining a continental mass above high elevations. A problem beyond the intent of this report
Granted, that may only be a mean value for now, but one can’t fight gravity, sediments will tend to move toward the oceans, erasing the fossil record in the process. Even if Judson and Ritter are off by a factor of 50, that would still wipe out the fossil record all the way to the beginning of the Cambrian.
But even more to the point, we have forensic clocks that may put an upper limit to the time of death of the fossil in question. There is the very embarrassing fact that the supposed carboniferous era of 300 million years ago has ubiquitious traces of C14, and this is acknowledged in peer-reviewed literature. 0.1% present day concentration of C14 will yield a presumed age of 57,000 years. That is 1 part in 1000. We have frequent detections of comparable levels, so much so many won’t even try to date with C14 beyond that presumed age because there seems to be a persistent amount in fossils!
Some claim contamination, but this explanation is not as credible as one might suppose.
First consider in-site contamination. To maintain a background persistent concentration of C14, one needs to keep adding more carbon from atmospheric sources into the fossil to maintain 0.1% concentraion. The problem with this scenario however is that the added C14 will decay away, and one needs to add even more carbon contaminants the next iteration to maintain a background C14 level of 0.1%. One ends up with something analogous to the compounding interest rate problem. Say I added a mere 0.1% contaminant every 50,000 years, over 300,000,000 years, the fossil will either gain 402 times in mass or be diluted from the original material by that factor. Maybe in-site contamination might work as an explanation for isolated cases, but not for repeated discoveries in diverse geographical locations, otherwise one would have to argue nature conspired to fool us by contaminating the entire world recently for no good reason.
Consider contamination during processing of the fossil. 1 part in 1000 might seem like very little, but consider contaminating a hard piece of fossil marble or shell or bone. Just to illustrate, take a 1 gallon (not quite 4 liters) sample of something hard. A little less than a small teaspoon (4 milliliters) of contaminant to 1 gallon would be 1 part in 1000. Do you think you can force that much contaminant into something relatively hard? 🙂 Even 1 teaspoon into 10 gallons wouldn’t exactly be easy (1 part in 10,000). So this is not as credible an explanation as would be supposed either. Are experiments and analysis actually done to determine the source of contamination? No, because the fossils C14 is primarily due to contamination, it is due to the fact the fossils are young. And few are willing to stick there neck out to point out they can’t demonstrate the source of supposed contamination.
Radioactive decay chains have be also ruled out unless of course one assumes 99% Uranium and less than 1% of fossil!
See:
Problems using Coal as a C14 free source
Lowe points out:
Many (super 14) C dating laboratories have established that coal samples exhibit a finite (super 14) C age, apparently caused by contamination of the specimens before any laboratory preparation is undertaken.
He then points out the contamination cannot be due to radioactive decay of other products:
Because coal is formed over geological time scales at depths providing excellent shielding from cosmic rays, its 14C content should be insignificant in comparison to the 14C introduced by even the most careful sample preparation techniques used in 14C dating laboratories. How is it then, that a material, which should show a14C age indistinguishable from that produced by a combination of machine background and contamination during careful sample preparation, routinely produces a finite 14C age?
One suggestion is that radium, which is present in some coals at the sub pm level, as a decay product of the uranium/thorium series, may produce 4C during an extremely rare decay event (Rose & Jones, 1984). Jull,Barker and Donahue (1987) have detected 14C from this process in uranium/ thorium ores. Blendowski, Fliessbach and Walliser (1987) however, have shown that the 14( decay mode of 226Ra is only of the order of 10-11 of the preferred a decay channel to 222Rn. Thus, the amount of 14C produced by such events derived from radium in coal must be considered as insignificant.
and finally capitulation at the ubiquity of the problem
There are many other unpublished accounts by 14C laboratories in which the use of coal as a background test material has been investigated. In many cases, the samples were found to contain 14C, and further studies were discontinued. The AMS and gas counting facilities, DSIR, in Lower Hutt, New Zealand, eg, have observed apparent ages for coal specimens ranging from 25-40 kyr, and the NSF Accelerator Facility at Tucson, Arizona has determined ages of anthracite samples ranging from 30-40 kyr (AJT Jull, pers commun, 1988).
Lowe invokes bacterial contamination, but I pointed out why such in site contamination is contradicted by the “compounding interest” problem, not to mention, bacteria in deep parts of the Earth would be feasting off C14 depleted carbon, not atmospheric carbon!
Next is the fact of biological materials with half-lives that preclude their persistence in fossils. DNA has a half life 521 years give or take, homochiral amino acids have half-lives on the order of hundreds or a few thousand years. The state of these biological materials in fossils is inconsistent with the time of death hundreds of millions of years ago.
Additionally, we have ancient fossil DNA that looks like modern DNA, breaking the biological molecular clock hypothesis. See: Pardox of Ancient Bacterium. But detractors bring up the contamination complaint yet again.
The actual forensic clocks refute old age fossils in the fossils themselves (C14, DNA, homochiral amino acids, inconsistency with biological molecular clock). The well preserved variety of fossils could not have been buried in a process taking millions of years as a matter of principle, and there should be serious doubt the fossil record would still be around after hundred million years, maybe not even 11 million years.
Finally, I keep hearing assertions about all the mounds of data that prove the fossils are old. Actually it’s mounds of publication not mounds of actual facts. The amount of words dumped out does not necessarily make claims any more credible than Kairos Focus being verbose proves Kairos Focus’ FYI/FTR are correct. It’s the physical facts that count. The tons of fossilized material themselves do not indicate an age that is as old as most presume.
People DO know “what other mechanism”, Sal. You seem to have very little regard for the expertise of geologists!
stcordova,
Of course there are. They are typically associated with orogenic zones. But they are readily identified. The existence of such does not cast doubt on the succession in long-undisturbed zones, where parallel strata extending for miles neatly overlay, and multiple isotopes speak to older underlying younger uniformly. Orogenic overfolding leaves a distinctive mark, and cannot be assumed to be the norm.
Because there are no dating methods that work sufficiently well on the fossils. Amino acid racemisation is not recommended for dating rocks. Same for C14. It IS subject to contamination issues, no matter how much you wish it were otherwise (a reverse of the usual debate where one has to persuade the YEC of the accuracy of C14, because it points to an earth at least 50,000 years old). Since you like a quote mine, here’s one for you: “It is very difficult or impossible to prove that a given sample has not been contaminated. Parent or daughter products could have leached in or out of the sample.” – Kent Hovind.
Of course, he’s focussing on “a given sample”, and there are isochron methods, multiple isotopes, and multiple data points allowing the signal to rise above the noise on the broader scale. Precisely what you don’t have with your C14 in coal (but not, oddly, in limestone). There is so much variation, there is no signal.
As to your ‘compound interest’ talking point, it does not apply to ground water or to uranium isotopic generation. Groundwater flows, from the surface through the rocks, bringing fresh C14 as dissolved CO2 and humic components. Uranium has a sufficiently long half life that it can continuously generate fresh C14 as it decays.
Anyway, any comments on my limestone calculation?
For all of Glen Davidson’s ranting about me, he has yet to demonstrate the relevance of Si02 contributing to the increase of C14 in fossils.
Glen, can you explain for the science students how Si02 can result in the synthesis of C14 in fossils? 🙂
Please provide a source for this allegation.
Me. 🙂
Or how about this letter from UGA which can be found by scrolling in this link:
http://newgeology.us/presentation48.html
How much peer-rejection attitude fostering: like rejection of the entire geological record that has C14 traces, amino acid traces, DNA traces ALL over. These are normal data points, not outliers, but they are institutionally ignored. The outlier is complete absence of some trace.
There is a “compounding interest” problem with C14, amino and DNA clocks, so the contamination argument can only go so far. The forensic evidence is there for the recent time of death of the fossils. That is formally a separate issue than the U-Pb, K-Ar dates that the fossils may be entombed with.
Old U-Pb, K-Ar dates for rocks lying above youthful strata is physically possible, and even plausible if one believes things like Heart Mountain can move over young strata:
So there is no a apriori reason for dating a fossil time of death by the K-Ar, U-Pb dates of rocks that may entomb them, and there is already accepted situations, no matter how outrageous the mechanism, that young fossils can be buried under “old” rock.
The erosion rates are neither outliers. In fact the slowest published erosion rate would erase much of the geological record via erosion.
As I said, I was an Old Earth Creationist. One of the reasons I became more convinced about YEC was my arguments with llaniteDave at ARN in 2004. I actually reviewed mainstream literature, and in the process found the explanations wanting.
Here is one paradox that some claim is resolved, and others don’t. The “best” solution currently requires GLOBAL WARMING to make evolution possible:
The planet would have been an iceball and remained an iceball during the Cambrian and Pre-Cambrian eras. Even if the Earth is old there must have been fine-tuned Global Warming or some poof mechanism to remove the ice and keep Earth warm and cozy enough to host life. Life won’t evolve on an iceball.
Here again is an example of mainstream data, when critically analyzed, indicates the youthfulness of life on Earth.
Say hypothetically the Earth did melt out of the iceball, then that still implies life is young, and hence the Young Life Hypothesis component of YEC is very credible.
The young age of the fossils is consistent with the Faint Young Sun paradox.
Another reason I suspect the Solar System is young:
http://www.uncommondescent.com/privileged-planet/nature-makes-an-id-friendly-report-on-the-solar-system-officially-its-not-yec-friendly/
POOF!
http://www.goodreads.com/quotes/70827-this-is-rather-as-if-you-imagine-a-puddle-waking
OMagnian,
There is a naturalistic explanation for the puddle fitting the hole, there isn’t one in terms of expectation for the confluence of youthful indicators for the Solar System except:
1. luck
2. fortuitous fine tuning coordinating the events (more luck)
3. the Solar System is actually young
Alan Fox asked why I believe in YEC, on of my answers to him is the confluence of youthful indicators. The confluence of youthful indicators for the Solar System was one of the considerations that converted me from OEC to YEC.
I should add, comets look youthful and special. Arguments for a non-existent OORT cloud were concocted to explain the problem away, the problem remains. LlaniteDave was toasted pretty badly on these points in our 2004 exchange.
Stcorodva,
I think you may have missed the point. It’s not that the puddle fits the hole, it’s it’s interpretation of that fact.
If you mean those quotes you just provided, no, none of those were indicators that the solar system is young.
I asked you a question about how many things fossilise. I don’t believe you answered it. I have similar faith in receiving an answer to the question how many solar systems are there?
What does that even mean? Fortuitous fine tuning is your claim and here you equate it to luck, or improbability? Good luck undermining your own claims in the future too.
Perhaps it is and perhaps it is not. But what about Epsilon Eridani? We can look at that from where we are. Is it just our solar system you claim is young or all of them?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epsilon_Eridani
Which you have had to pick out as needles from a forest of straw.
What about Epsilon Eridani? Presumably there are similar indicators for Epsilon Eridani, what do they say about it’s age?
Extrasolar comets exist. How do you deal with them?
Citation please. So you think the OORT cloud was concocted to cover up the young age of the solar system?
Really? I’ll have to repeat that I think. You think the idea of the OORT cloud was concocted solely to cover up the young age of the solar system?
What is the “problem” exactly? That comets look youthful and special? Care to put an age on a specific comet and justify that age?
Then you’ll be happy to provide links to it, won’t you? I’ll go and have a look. And in that intervening decade do you think the evidence has been in your favour?
stcorodva,
Out of interest, how do you even go about starting to explain stuff like this?
http://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/a-new-leap-forward-for-radiocarbon-dating-81047335/?no-ist
The fossils don’t have a young age, and there isn’t a paradox.
Well, I think you should try again. YEC just doesn’t add up at all. There are perfectly good explanations for all the apparent anomalies that YEC sites trot out (which is why we call them PRATTs) and none for the huge amount of consilience between independent lines of enquiry that not only converge on an old earth, but a fairly precise age for both the earth and the universe.
Seriously Sal, you are clutching at straws here. And when one straw sinks, you clutch another. They are all straws. The flood you are drowning in is the flood of CONSILIENT data. Varves alone knock YEC out of the water (or into it, to stick with my metaphor) – there are far too many of them for YEC to be true.
Our dates for fossils must be false, and the reason is completely logical. What is now a fossil is the remains of a once living organism, and that organism was alive for some period of time before it’s death, and the age of the fossil fails to consider the age of the organism when it died. So all such dates are wrong. And YEC is therefore true. QED.
More proof that the earth is billions of years young.
Moreover, we recognize these layers are out of order just because we have ordered layers to compare them to. Man oh man.
He’s here and we can give you a replay, better yet you can spar with me. 🙂
stcordova,
Er – Limestone?
Well:
Physical evidence that the earth is 52,800 years old at least, without any dependence on any radio-anything.
Spar with that. Or ignore it, as you prefer.
It would have been quicker for you to put the link in, as you mentioned it in the first place. What are you scared of?
Well there you go. The earth is at least 52,000 years young. I am willing to take a stand on that and defend it.
Whatevs
OMagain you seem intent on picking a fight. I derive a small amount of pleasure every time I deny you the opportunity to do so. Do keep trying though. 🙂
Perhaps the earth really is at least 52,801 years old and I really am a horrid person for not saying I accept that as a fact.
Pluto has some young features. 🙂
Creationist prediction by a YEC who was expelled from JPL, my friend, David Coppedge:
http://crev.info/2015/06/what-to-look-for-at-pluto/
Prediction 1: Evidence of surface activity will be found that will be hard to explain continuing for billions of years. Prediction 2: The orbital dance of the moons will defy stability for billions of years. Prediction 3: Compositional features of the bodies will challenge theories of accretion from the same region of a dust disk. Prediction 4: Secular planetary scientists will invoke collisions to explain all the anomalies.
Prediction 1 has some support: http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-33543383
The thin frosting of nitrogen and other volatiles on top of water-ice bedrock was intriguing, said Prof Stern, because Pluto’s tenuous, mainly nitrogen atmosphere was constantly being lost to space.
Ok, so if you heat a kettle of water, the water evaporates. Nitrogen ice will evaporate with heat. So why is it still there and not gone and evaporated after billions of years into space?
“We have not found a single impact crater on this image. This means it must be a very young surface,” he said.
Must be very young baby, must be very young!
stcordova,
You mean the sysadmin who was laid off for failure to learn a new system and having a history of work-related complaints against him?
Don’t try to rewrite history to make him a martyr.
If they don’t have martyrs, they got nuttin’ at all.
But we do have martyrs. 😉
Pluto is young, therefore the earth was created 6000 years ago, and all evidence for the actual age of the earth converges on a single date, July 16, 4004 BC.
WHOOPdeeDOO!!
Martyrs, or to be honest, so-called”martyrs”, second only to nuttin’ at all.
Wake me up when you’ve really got sumtin’.
There are various phenomenon in the Solar System that are consistent with youth. Something young inside the Solar System doesn’t establish the youth of the Solar System but what evolutionist want to avoid is the appearance of being in a privileged or highly lucky situation. Having many specialized phenomenon that appear to have happened recently indicates a privileged position, and privileged positions start to hint of something miraculous.
Comets are made up mostly of ice. When they orbit the sun and get close to it during part of the orbit, part of the ice steams off (proper term is sublimate) and eventually the comet will vaporize and be gone.
Purely out of philosophical bias rather hard-nosed empiricism, explanations were concocted to argue for a steady source of new comets to replace disappearing ones.
Retired University of South Carolina astronomer Danny Faulkner writes:
If I understand the argument correctly, it is saying that we can get rid of one potential weakness in our theory by introducing an entire host of other weaknesses. And thus we make progress in knowledge and understanding.
Regarding comets: There are some comets with extremely short periods—like, 10 years and under—of which the best known may be Encke’s Comet, with a period of 3.3 years. If the Solar System is only 6,000 years old, and all comets date back to the creation of the Solar System, it follows that Encke’s Comet must have made (6,000 / 3.3 =) a bit more than eighteen hundred close passes to the Sun.
Now, I can’t say I’m totally familiar with all the relevant data, but I’m pretty sure that 1,800 close passes to the Sun is more than enough to boil that sucker down to the bare rock/dirt. But that hasn’t happened! Ergo, Encke’s Comet must be substantially younger than even a 6,000-years-young Solar System. Ergo, there must be at least one post-Creation source for comets, even under a Young Earth timescale.
I don’t expect Cordova to take this inconvenient (to Cordova) fact on board, as it’s pretty much irrefutable that YECs aren’t in it for factual accuracy. But, you know, just to have it out there.
Slight change in accounting for Solar System mass outside of Neptune’s orbit will affect long period comet’s orbital period to less than 6,000 years. There are reports of strange pairs of comets which may actually be the same comet with a substantially shorter period.
The possibility of a slight change in the accounting of mass outside of Neptune’s orbit is a testable prediction, which is more than I can say for evolutionary theory.
But by all accounts there is a troubling confluence of privileged phenomenon that are young in the Solar System as pointed out by the article in Nature I linked to above.
stcordova,
What rot. Evolutionary theory makes testable predictions about the fossil record, about morphological hierarchies, about comparative genomics, about karyotype distributions, and so on and so on.
What’s the YEC explanation for comets? The remains of the Flood?
sez cordova:
…will not alter the fact that each time a comet makes a close pass to the Sun, some of its volatiles boil off into the vacuum of space.
…will not alter the fact that there are, indeed, comets whose periods are well under 10 years.
…will not alter the fact that any such extremely-short-period comet that was created ca. 6K years ago, would necessarily have boiled itself down to the bare rock as a result of the several hundred close Solar passes that comet would necessarily have made in the ca. 6K years since its “birth”.
…will not alter the fact that there are a number of extremely-short-period comets which have not boiled themselves down to the bare rock.
…will not alter the fact that even under a YEC-friendly timescale for the existence of the Solar System, there must necessarily be some kind of post-Creation source for comets.
Any time cordova feels like addressing the actual content of this argument (as distinct from disgorging a fog of verbiage to distract readers from recognizing that he isn’t, like, addressing the argument at all), he is welcome to do so. Given cordova’s long-standing, multiply documented track record in matters of this sort, however, I ain’t gonna hold my breath waiting.
test it already or stfu.
People have criticized my YLC claims by saying the anomalies I cite are minor. I sharply disagree.
One of the most famous Paleontologists/Evoltuionary biologists in history was Stephen J. Gould. It is well-known fact, albeit mostly forgotten, he had a YEC PhD student who was an undegrad student also of Paleontologist David Raup (the best of the best), by the name of Kurt Wise.
Wise gives the YEC perspective in the following 45 minute video and explains the problem of bio purturbation. You see, one might complain that I’m illiterate, but one can’t complain Kurt Wise is illiterate. After all he was Gould’s PhD student at Harvard and Lewontin’s graduate research assistant.
The relevant part is 9 minutes in.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FWUwkeLT5YQ&t=587s
This was a devastating critique of the Old Fossil Record interpretation.