Well, should scientists be legally liable for deceiving the public and manipulating the evidence to support their OWN brliefs based on untrue claims and unsupported by scientific evidence?
Well, should scientists be legally liable for deceiving the public and manipulating the evidence to support their OWN brliefs based on untrue claims and unsupported by scientific evidence?
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Where is that discussion happening? Shall we start a new OP?
And do you think you should be held legally accountable for deceiving the public?
Sorry but science rejected all “God, er, Designer of the Gaps” arguments two hundred years ago. Unless you have some positive evidence for this Designer you’re just pissing into the wind.
keiths:
colewd:
I’m trying to get you to defend your views for once instead of merely stating them. If that makes me a “manipulator”, then so be it.
colewd:
Why? Please defend your view instead of merely stating it.
keiths,
Are you claiming that probability estimates are the only way to defend a view? I asked you for a probability analysis and you ignored it. I accept that you don’t want to use statistics in your argument because probability theory is currently not the best tool for the debate.
OMagain,
And when did I stop beating my wife 🙂
keiths,
The only defense I have seen of your views is citing a paper without comment to how it supports your views.
colewd,
Jesus Christ, Bill. I’ve directed you to this OP more than once:
I’ve defended my views. Let’s see you do the same.
colewd,
Of course not. You were the one who wrote this, concerning the origin of the human genome:
I just asked you to follow up on that:
That’s when the squirming began. Observe:
colewd:
keiths:
colewd:
keiths:
colewd, following some hand-waving:
keiths:
colewd:
You’re squirming and evading your own criterion. I’m sure Jesus is proud.
Some scientists should definitely be legally accountable, especially those who market poisonous pharmaceuticals and practice unethical clinical trials and falsify data to keep getting grants.
Mistakes should be forgiven, but willful damage to the public should not.
How about the scientists who said smoking is safe?
Evolutionary biology? Eh, self-delusion isn’t a crime….
Personally, my more immediate worry is the Cultural Gestapo that is now in Canada and spreading to the USA. This is far worse an impact than evolutionary theory.
It’s a $250,000 fine to refer a trangender person who is biologically male pretending to be a female as “he” in New York City. If I said, “dude look like a lady” (to quote the Aerosmith song), that’s a punishable offense in some places. In Canada it can lead to jail time.
This is God’s punishment on a society that rejects truth. The Cultural gestapo want to mess with biology now and outlaw referring to the biological sex of animals! The evolutionary biologists now will not be punished by right wing creationists but by the atheists Social “Justice” Nutjobs (SJW). God has a sense of humor.
It was foreseen 20 years ago:
Here is the description 20 years later:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qMkdHcaRwkw
Think academia isn’t filled with worthless nutjob professors? One of my favorite Atheists, Phil Mason Thunderf00t on Melissa Click:
https://youtu.be/XWnOes3wQiM
colewd,
It has to start somewhere. You are saying it STARTS as an assumption, somehow suspended in mid air. Anyway, word lawyer away; common descent is indeed a conclusion based upon analysis, not just something someone randomly decided to ‘assume’ a priori.
Ironically, you couldn’t even get the relationship to Creationism right. There is grandeur in this view of life, with its several powers, having been originally breathed by the Creator into a few forms or into one;
He did drop ‘by the Creator’, but not before blowing your entire analysis – that Common Descent was ‘assumed’ as an alternative to Creationism, and that his assumption was Universal from the get-go – completely out of the water.
colewd,
Where does the quote come from, and how does it challenge Theobald? Anyone can dump a bunch of text.
Is that the real problem with it? It doesn’t even go into mechanisms of change.
This is ridiculously confused. Theobald says nothing about OoL, 10^1000 is a number out of a hat, and the eukaryotic cell is not (given the relationship to archaea and alpha proteobacteria) anything to do with OoL either.
Altogether now:
The Most Recent Common Ancestor Is Not The First Organism.
Allan Miller,
From his 2010 paper on UCD.
So 10^2680 to get to bacteria and eukaryotic. My estimate 1500 orders of magnitude smaller for OOL. Seems conservative to me. No mater how you slice these numbers the probability bug is going to point to keiths supernatural status 🙂
What about babies born with ambiguous genitalia? I find it sort of ironic that religious fundies like you think that somebody’s “free will” should be denied to people who feel their sex doesn’t correspond with their genitalia. And talking about irony…
Also babies are born atheists. Is that a biological reason to call christian parents who indoctrinate their kids “cultural gestapo”?
Allan Miller,
I cited evidence you didn’t read it. So I will lift it for you my good man.
Based on the evidence Darwin inferred common descent based on natural selection as a mechanism. Now Theobald argues common descent without a mechanism. Notice that he was challenged that the inference argument was unsafe.
No, it can’t be.
Why don’t you learn what words mean?
Glen Davidson
You appear to understand nothing about Theobald’s paper, including its main point. What you quote is not the likelihood of common descent but the likelihood, given common descent, of the particular sequences we observe today. It’s just that the likelihood of separate descent is much, much lower. We prefer the hypothesis that maximizes the probability of the observed sequences.
And the most recent common ancestor of extant life has nothing to do with the origin of life. That’s another thing you don’t understand.
John Harshman,
I don’t agree with you that the recent common ancestor of extant life has nothing to do with origin on life. Where did the recent ancestor come from? Are you denying cause and effect?
The point I am making is that if the number of 3 separate origins is so low (1/10^2680), Theobald’s hypothesis comes into question. If we assume each origin event is the same then the origin of bacteria would 1/10^900 which essentially falsifies Theobald’s proposed mechanism.
How about this, then?: The most recent common ancestor of extant life has no more to do with the origin of life than does any living species. The recent ancestor, of course, came from a prior ancestor. The origin of life would be quite a while before that.
The point I am making is that you have no clue about Theobald’s hypothesis. That isn’t the probability of 3 separate origins. It’s the probability of observing the sequences we observe given 3 separate origins. If you can’t tell the difference, you have no business talking about Theobald’s paper. Further, Theobald’s “proposed mechanism” is simply descent on one tree or another. His numbers have nothing to do with the probability of abiogenesis, as you seem to imagine. I believe I’ve tried to explain all that to you several times.
Bill, you are Dunning-Kruger personified.
Seriously, he’s entirely clueless but he drones on regardless. It’s an embarassment to see him post.
For fucks sake Bill. There’s a long history before the last universal ancestor. It’s just the most recent universal ancestor, it’s not the first species to originate on Earth.
Only when they are policy-makers at the same time. For example economists who advise politicians should be accountable for failing to foresee market crashes. Policy-makers should be more accountable in general.
No, you misunderstand. He inferred that species evolve by natural selection(that their complexity and their being adapted to the environment owe to natural selection), not that natural selection is the mechanism that yields common descent. That would be nonsensical. Come on for fucks sake just think about it for a moment. Why would Darwin infer common descent due to natural selection? That doesn’t make sense, so he wouldn’t.
Common descent is a consequence of isolation of reproducing populations, whether there is natural selection or not. Darwin knew and understood this.
I hope you have transgender children. Direct personal experience is usually the only cure for people like you.
Well, what do you propose? What is the Truth about sexuality? And how does god want you to behave to people who are transgender? Should we look to the bible for the punishment that god is expecting you to extract Sal?
As it seems to me the most danger comes from people like you saying that we need to do something about those people that are causing god to punish us. Like it or not, your attitude is intolerant, like the gestapo, whereas those who are encouraging acceptance are the polar opposite.
You are the proto-nazi Sal, with your implied talk about “truth” and “punishment”.
https://academic.oup.com/ahr/article-abstract/121/4/1167/2581601/Lesbianism-Transvestitism-and-the-Nazi-State-A?abspop=1&related-urls=yes&legid=ahr;121/4/1167
How long was there between the origin of life and the most recent common ancestor? How do you know?
colewd,
I don’t know whether to laugh or … OK, I’ll go with that. 10^2680 is not made up of 3 spins of 10^900 each.
On MRCA and the OoL – suppose we were to eliminate all trace and memory of all organisms on earth except for the parrots. Does that mean we would be justified in concluding that the organism emerging from the OoL was a parrot? I’m hoping you’re shaking your head at this point. Likewise, suppose we were to eliminate all organisms on earth except for eukaryotes. Does that mean the OoL yielded a eukaryote? No? Try again with bacteria, then archaea. If each had a separate origin, there is no more reason to suppose that the common ancestor of all survivors of that clade arose in an ‘OoL event’ than there is in the bird example.
Then think about eliminating all except eukaryotes, archaea and bacteria. ie, do nothing, because any such elimination has already occurred, and that’s all we’re left with.
Either the 3 groups are not commonly descended – 3 separate common ancestors, none of them the OoL – or they are – one common ancestor, not the OoL either. The probability deals with the likelihood that our data comes from the first scenario vs the second. Taking that probability, and then dividing it by 3 to get the probability of the origin of each separate lineage, is … it’s … I’m …
colewd,
He just didn’t. Common descent is about separated gene pools, NS a mechanism of change within.
Common descent needs no mechanism other than descent and isolation.
There are critiques of Theobald for sure, as there should be in science. You cling to the life raft that they are right, but 3 origins instead of 1 is hardly the greatest victory for Creationism, nor any kind of problem for ‘Darwinism’. See, for example, Darwin.
Regardless, I haven’t seen anything that better supports 3 origins than 1.
There are now about 70 genders listed including worm.
If someone is anorexic is it kind to say they look fat because they insist they are fat! They friggin need help to cope with their mental issues.
Is some young teenage dude wants to chop his thing off because he thinks it will make him more like a girl, is it kind to encourage him. He might be horrified to find out, as some trans sexuals born as boys find out the hard way, most normal men are attracted to females who were born females, not emasculated men pretending they are females.
And irony of ironies, is it just religious folk who object to men posing as women? No, it’s some feminists!
http://www.advocate.com/caitlyn-jenner/2015/10/26/feminist-germaine-greer-goes-anti-trans-rant-over-caitlyn-jenner
If he’s going to chop his junk off and grow breasts and take hormones that can make him sick, he’s got a lot more problems than getting his feelings hurt because someone uses the correct pronouns.
A lot of trans-sexuals don’t feel the Cultural Gestapo Social “Justice” Liars speak for them. They don’t want all this attention drawn to them.
And sheesh, a $250,000 fine for someone using certain pronouns? What happened to the 1st amendment. If I’m a medical doctor, should I be fined because I used the pronoun “he” in the medical records when describing he’s suffering from the effects of chemical castration? And Darwin forbid if the guy wants to be called a deer (one of the genders).
Some student somewhere insisted on being called “your majesty”, and the school caved and the teachers called him “your majesty”. Say “his majesty” works in customer service, you don’t think that will cause some problems.
Some guy insisting he’s a girl wanted to be in the girls locker room with no curtains and girls be forced to see what he looks like. Is that right? What a freaking mess.
I never thought I’d be agreeing with an evolutionary biologist like Jerry Coyne who insisted how anti-science it is not to notice the difference between men and women and the stronger effect of natural selection on men. Coyne took PZ Myers to the woodshed here:
https://whyevolutionistrue.wordpress.com/2017/03/09/when-ideology-trumps-biology/
Allan,
He’s actually taking the cube root rather than dividing by three. His reasoning seems to be:
It’s still a comical misinterpretation of the Theobald paper, but at least his math makes sense given the comical misinterpretation (and the accompanying assumption of equiprobability).
keiths,
You’re right, I should maybe have said ‘exponent’.
Your thoughts regarding gender are as deep and as relevant as your thoughts regarding biology.
Like I say, the only “cure” is for you to experence these issues directly. Then, perhaps, you’ll gain some empathy.
If it’s not right, it’s wrong. And if it’s wrong it deserves punishment?
How would you punish the transgender Sal?
What age did you decide your sexuality Sal?
0.4 / 10
Pretty substandard trolling here Sal.
How many genders are there in reality Sal, and how do you know this?
You are completely confused in the most terrible direction
What list?
And he’s allowed to teach others!
keiths,
Your right I am taking the cube root. The math is that the three events happening as individual events is AxBxC.
Allan Miller,
Since my challenge to keiths is to argue that he can be accounted for by only material cause does it really matter 3 origins or 1? Our boy is looking pretty supernatural at this point 🙂
colewd,
Yep, we got that. What is less clear is why you think it relevant.
colewd,
No it doesn’t. What I’m more interested in, though, is your assertion that scientists have somehow deceived the public on UCD.
Google lead me to one of them lists:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/facebook/10930654/Facebooks-71-gender-options-come-to-UK-users.html
Here’s a small portion:
(…)
Cis Female
Cis Male
Cis Man
Cis Woman
Cisgender
Cisgender Female
Cisgender Male
Cisgender Man
Cisgender Woman
Female to Male
FTM
Gender Fluid
Gender Nonconforming
Gender Questioning
Gender Variant
Genderqueer
(…)
colewd,
Only if one accepts your comical misinterpretation of Theobald’s paper. You have sunk to a JoeG-like level of scientific incompetence.
It helps when one wishes to cling to a bad caricature of science.
Glen Davidson
keiths,
Can you support this assertion?
You tend to mock people and manipulate as a tactic when you are unable to defend your claims. In another post you tried to manipulate Neil.
If you need to use these fact-less tactics, have you considered that the beliefs you are clinging to may me wrong?
It’s cute when you try to condescend, Bill.
colewd,
Here’s the key sentence from Theobald’s paper:
First, note that you got the exponent wrong. It’s 2860, not 2680.
Second, note that Theobald is comparing the probabilities of various hypotheses given the data. In other words, Theobald’s conclusion is that universal common ancestry fits the evidence 10^2860 times better than the best competing hypothesis.
Your comical misinterpretation is to think that he’s saying something about the probability of OOL.
Bill, stop digging. Read Theobald. Try to understand it. Use my reply to you as a guide.