Sandbox (1)

Sometimes very active discussions about peripheral issues overwhelm a thread, so this is a permanent home for those conversations.

1,772 thoughts on “Sandbox (1)

  1. petrushka: It’s called Unitarianism (among other names). I believe Newton dabbled in it. Maybe Thomas Jefferson. Most scientists have been deists or near-deists. Certainly the enterprise of science has been about finding regularities in nature rather than finding evidence of miracles or intervention.

    LoL! Unitarianism just denies the “Holy Trinity”, meaning it accepts ONE God.

  2. beaver are intelligent

    beavers are intelligent agencies because they can and do puposefully manipulate nature to produce a desired effect.

    ice is not water

    That is correct- ice melts at 0 degrees C. water doesn’t melt.

    you can measure the CSI of a cake by counting the number of letters in the recipe

    Wrong- the letters in a recipe just capture the actions required:

    The causal tie between an artifact and its intended character — or, strictly speaking, between an artifact and its author’s productive intention — is constituted by an author’s actions, that is, by his work on the object.- Artifact

    It is obvious by reading my post on Measuring Information/ specified complexity, that I am talking about reproducing the ACTIONS of the designer(s) in order to get a representation of the information the designer(s) imparted onto/ into their design.

    One way of figuring out how much information it contains is to figure out how (the simplest way) to make it.

    Data collection and compression. (six sigma DMAIC- define, measure, analyze, improve, control)

    A recipe is nothing more than a capturing of actions. The baker is the artist, the cake is the art.

    ticks are attracted to watermelon

    I will prove that again this year- that is they are more attracted watermelon than the dry forrest in which they reside.

  3. Joe G: “Nope, you end up with Intelligent Design- atheism, whether it is acknowledged or not, is a religion dedicated to Mother Nature, Father Time and some still unknown natural processes.”

    A theist has a theology, an atheist then by definition, has no theology.

    What is the point of having a word that is the opposite of another if that word cannot be used to describe that very thing that is in opposition?

    The most powerful arguments IDist’s can offer, is the re-definition of terms to suit their positions.

  4. Joe G:
    Flint:

    But the “theory” of evolution does not make any predictions based on its posited mechanisms- we cannot predict what will be selected for at any point in time (Dennett), we cannot predict what mutations will occur at any point in time and we cannot predict which individuals will out-reproduce the others.

    Heck you can’t even produce a testable hypothesis that isn’t full of equivocations.

    I suppose you are right. Casinos have no way of predicting exactly where the roulette wheel will land, but they consistently make a profit off of roulette anyway. Do you regard this as sheer durable luck, or would you say that one can understand these profits if one understands the mechanisms?

    Evolution is a statistical beast in this same sense. We can’t predict exactly what mutations will occur, we can’t predict which of these will approach fixation. We CAN predict that the vast majority will not, and we CAN predict that even a majority of beneficial mutations will not. We can model the process quite well in this sense.

    And of course, the theory predicts a very great many things WILL be found, if we’re looking for what theory predicts, where theory predicts we will find it. For me, this is quite compelling. I think I can see how someone determined to reject the most fundamental, best-attested theory in the history of science is guaranteed to find some fault with it, however much special pleading is required to do so.

  5. olegt: You don’t understand the nature of science, William. It isn’t about interpretation. It is about making empirically testable predictions. Which can be tested by this researcher and that researcher independently of each other.

    Let me give you an example. Einstein’s theory of relativity states that no signal can travel faster than light. Last year, this prediction was thrown into doubt by the OPERA experiment, which seemed to have detected neutrinos traveling faster than light. If their data are valid then Einstein’s theory is wrong. The OPERA team, fortunately or not, uncovered some experimental errors in their setup, so they are no longer sure about their conclusions. And now an independent team, ICARUS, repeated the experiment and found that no evidence that neutrinos travel faster than light. So Einstein’s theory seems to be safe for now.

    This is how science is done. It isn’t a matter of someone’s opinion whether neutrinos travel faster than light, it is an empirically resolvable question.

    Great, give us some empirically testable predictions pertaining to accumulations of random mutations

  6. Flint: I suppose you are right. Casinos have no way of predicting exactly where the roulette wheel will land, but they consistently make a profit off of roulette anyway. Do you regard this as sheer durable luck, or would you say that one can understand these profits if one understands the mechanisms?

    Evolution is a statistical beast in this same sense. We can’t predict exactly what mutations will occur, we can’t predict which of these will approach fixation. We CAN predict that the vast majority will not, and we CAN predict that even a majority of beneficial mutations will not. We can model the process quite well in this sense.

    And of course, the theory predicts a very great many things WILL be found, if we’re looking for what theory predicts, where theory predicts we will find it. For me, this is quite compelling. I think I can see how someone determined to reject the most fundamental, best-attested theory in the history of science is guaranteed to find some fault with it, however much special pleading is required to do so.

    Nice propaganda speech. Unfortunately the theory of evolution is too vague to be a theory and too vague to be tested.

  7. Casinos have no way of predicting exactly where the roulette wheel will land, but they consistently make a profit off of roulette anyway.

    Casinos have the odds in their favor. That is why they consistently make a profit. Well, that plus their clientele.

  8. <span id="comment-8645-unapproved" class="tc_highlight">Joe G</span>: ID claims that if we observe a pattern we should at least be able to check into what caused it. And if it is demonstrated that matter, energy, necessity and chance can explain it, then cool, at least we know.

    But if it can’t then we should be able to at least consider the design inference and its ramifications.

    Well, no. Not according to the UD FAQ, anyway, or to Dembski. The claim made there is that if a pattern is more improbable under some ill-specified null than “500 bits” (or sometimes a different threshold), that we must reject non-design.

  9. Joe G: Casinos have the odds in their favor. That is why they consistently make a profit. Well, that plus their clientele.

    Face-palm.

  10. Joe G: ID claims that if we observe a pattern we should at least be able to check into what caused it. And if it is demonstrated that matter, energy, necessity and chance can explain it, then cool, at least we know.

    But if it can’t then we should be able to at least consider the design inference and its ramifications.

    No one is stopping you or anyone else from considering whatever you like, but what you or anyone else considers isn’t necessarily scientific. I could consider the existence of yellow polka dot elephants living at the bottom of a sea, and winged spiders that fly from galaxy to galaxy without a spaceship, but if I want science to take my considerations seriously I’d have to produce evidence.

  11. Elizabeth: Well, I don’t think that ID is religion.I think it’s bad math, mostly.What I find frustrating, is that whenever I, or anyone, attempts to address the bad math, the responses are often about religion, or the evils of atheism.

    The bad math happens to support a religious view point.And so it is difficult not to conclude that the reluctance to engage with the math has to do with reluctance to endanger a religious position.

    Which I find sad, because rejecting the ID inference from biology as fallacious does not entail rejecting the idea that the world was brought into being by an intelligent creator.

    Bad math? What about materialism with its bad everything?

  12. Creodont: No one is stopping you or anyone else from considering whatever you like, but what you or anyone else considers isn’t necessarily scientific. I could consider the existence of yellow polka dot elephants living at the bottom of a sea, and winged spiders that fly from galaxy to galaxy without a spaceship, but if I want science to take my considerations seriously I’d have to produce evidence.

    Whatever YOUR position still has nothing and it bothers you- your position doesn’t have any supporting evidence.

  13. Elizabeth: Well, no.Not according to the UD FAQ, anyway, or to Dembski.The claim made there is that if a pattern is more improbable under some ill-specified null than “500 bits” (or sometimes a different threshold), that we must reject non-design.

    Elizabeth- I have read more books on ID then you even know exist- YOU have limited yourself to some FAQ and one paper by Dembski.

    So please, don’t go trying to tell me about ID.

    You can try to correct my alleged mistakes wrt the theory of evolution but I know I can support all I claim about that also.

  14. Joe G: Elizabeth- I have read more books on ID then you even know exist- YOU have limited yourself to some FAQ and one paper by Dembski.

    So please, don’t go trying to tell me about ID.

    I have read considerably more than that, Joe. More to the point: I am addressing a specific argument, not “ID”. There may be perfectly good arguments for ID. I’m pointing out the flaws in the bad ones.

    You can try to correct my alleged mistakes wrt the theory of evolution but I know I can support all I claim about that also.

    Well, I beg to differ.

  15. Joe G: Elizabeth- I have read more books on ID then you even know exist- YOU have limited yourself to some FAQ and one paper by Dembski.

    It does not matter how many ID books you have read. Your comments reveal that you do not understand the paper we are discussing.

  16. olegt: It does not matter how many ID books you have read. Your comments reveal that you do not understand the paper we are discussing.

    oleg- you don’t understand anything about ID- my comment was aboput ID and ID is more than just one paper from Dembski.

  17. Elizabeth: I have read considerably more than that, Joe.More to the point: I am addressing a specific argument, not “ID”.There may be perfectly good arguments for ID.I’m pointing out the flaws in the bad ones.

    Well, I beg to differ.

    You can “beg to differ” all you want- the fact remains I have supported all my claims wrt the theory of evolution.

    Also my post, the one you responded, pertained to ID.

    And again, you should focus on the flaws in your position as opposed to the imagined flaws with ID. Ya see I pointed out the flaw in your example and you just ignored it.

    ID claims that if we observe a pattern we should at least be able to check into what caused it. And if it is demonstrated that matter, energy, necessity and chance can explain it, then cool, at least we know.

    But if it can’t then we should be able to at least consider the design inference and its ramifications.

    That peratains to ID and is supported by all the ID literature.

  18. olegt: It does not matter how many ID books you have read. Your comments reveal that you do not understand the paper we are discussing.

    BTW oleg- I doubt you understand the paper…

  19. dr who: Stonehenge is not a prerequisite for the existence of intelligent designers. Life, if we follow observations and evidence, is.

    And still no evidence for “non-intelligent design”.

  20. The claim made there is that if a pattern is more improbable under some ill-specified null than “500 bits” (or sometimes a different threshold), that we must reject non-design.

    Reference please.

  21. Joe G: Reference please.

    Try the Dembski paper that we’ve been talking about. Although he seems to have lowered the threshold slightly in that one. Elsewhere he puts it at 500 bits.

  22. Elizabeth: Try the Dembski paper that we’ve been talking about.Although he seems to have lowered the threshold slightly in that one.Elsewhere he puts it at 500 bits.

    The “500” bits pertains to CSI- CSI as in computer programs, assembly instructions, encyclopedia articles and living organisms.

  23. Joe G: Elizabeth- I have read more books on ID then you even know exist- YOU have limited yourself to some FAQ and one paper by Dembski.

    So please, don’t go trying to tell me about ID.

    You can try to correct my alleged mistakes wrt the theory of evolution but I know I can support all I claim about that also.

    Actually, you can’t support your claims, you can only assert your claims, and your claims are mostly or all based on appeals to authority, including yours. You’re not an authority on anything.

    Even when you’re attacking the theory of evolution you constantly appeal to authority. Dawkins said this, Darwin said that, some else said this, someone else said that, ……………. Who cares?

    It’s one thing to give a person credit where it’s due but quite another to base your claims solely on who said what, and especially when what they said is just their opinion. For instance, in Elizabeth’s demonstration she is challenging and disproving Dembski’s calculations, regardless of who made them. If Dembski’s name were Bozo the clown the calculations and Elizabeth’s demonstration would still be the same. She only mentions his name because they’re his calculations and she only mentions herself in regard to her demonstration because it’s her demonstration, but she is not saying that her demonstration is authoritative or correct simply because she did it.

    Unlike you she is using good science to refute bad science and everything she’s doing is there for anyone to see and test. You keep saying that she’s wrong but all you have are your bald assertions. Where’s your scientific, testable refutation of the method and results of her demonstration?

    And when are you going to contact Dembski and have him speak for himself? Does he pay you to think for him and be his mouthpiece?

  24. Joe G: You can “beg to differ” all you want- the fact remains I have supported all my claims wrt the theory of evolution.

    Also my post, the one you responded, pertained to ID.

    And again, you should focus on the flaws in your position as opposed to the imagined flaws with ID. Ya see I pointed out the flaw in your example and you just ignored it.

    ID claims that if we observe a pattern we should at least be able to check into what caused it. And if it is demonstrated that matter, energy, necessity and chance can explain it, then cool, at least we know.


    But if it can’t then we should be able to at least consider the design inference and its ramifications.

    That peratains to ID and is supported by all the ID literature.

    “we should at least be able to check into what caused it”

    “we should be able to at least consider”

    For the umpteenth time, NO ONE is stopping you from checking into or considering whatever you like. Just stop expecting science to accept your non-evidential considerations and assertions.

    And, for the umpteenth time, science DOES check into what causes patterns and everything else as much as is humanly possible. What do you think scientists do every day, just sit around and twiddle their thumbs?

    And WHO’S “we”?

  25. creo:

    Actually, you can’t support your claims…

    And yet I have.

    Just stop expecting science to accept your non-evidential considerations and assertions.

    YOUR position lacks evidentiary support. That is why it isn’t science.

    Who is we? The people that know materialism is nonsense because it lacks evidence.

  26. Even when you’re attacking the theory of evolution you constantly appeal to authority.

    I appeal to authoruty to refute the nonsense of the people who just don’t know and to support my claims.

    Who or what else should I appeal to support my claims about what evolutionary biologists say about the ToE?

    Where’s your scientific, testable refutation of the method and results of her demonstration?

    Her demonstration fails at the start for the reasons provided. And ignoring those reasons won’t make them go away.

  27. No Granville doesn’t have to demonstrate anything- YOU need to demonstrate taht blind and undirected processes can do the things you claim they did.

  28. ID can be tested and either confirmed or falsified. Unlike YOUR position it is based on our knowledge of cause and effect relationships.

    And as I have been telling evos for years, you can’t even produce a testable hypothesis for your position that isn’t full of equivocations.

  29. Joe G: I appeal to authoruty to refute the nonsense of the people who just don’t know and to support my claims.

    Who or what else should I appeal to support my claims about what evolutionary biologists say about the ToE?

    Her demonstration fails at the start for the reasons provided. And ignoring those reasons won’t make them go away.

    Appeals to authority are fallacious.

    You never “support” your claims.

    Ignoring reality won’t make your religious beliefs or assertions true. IDC will never replace science. Get used to it.

  30. Joe G:
    creo:

    And yet I have.

    YOUR position lacks evidentiary support. That is why it isn’t science.

    Who is we? The people that know materialism is nonsense because it lacks evidence.

    And your evidence for the origin of the “intelligent designer” is….?

  31. Joe G:
    No Granville doesn’t have to demonstrate anything- YOU need to demonstrate taht blind and undirected processes can do the things you claim they did.

    Since you’re on a first name basis with Granville, why don’t you ask him to come here and defend his assertions?

    Don’t forget to get your buddy Dembski over here too.

  32. And your evidence for the origin of the “intelligent designer” is….?

    How do you know the intelligent designer had an origin?

  33. Creo:

    There’s no evidence for or of your “intelligent designer”.

    Well there isn’t any evidence for your position so perhaps we don’t exist.

    Show your positive ID “evidence…

    Already have- you obvioulsy don’t have any idea what evidence is.

  34. Creo;

    I notice that you’re still avoiding lots of relevant questions,

    Nope- if your position had any answers then ID would fade away- IOW you are the one who is avoiding everything, including reality.

  35. Evidence, not rhetoric, is required in this case.

    That leaves you out then.

    Strange that the whole world is still waiting for positive evidence for materialism.

  36. rhampton7:
    We do not expect natural forces to add a bathroom to our house or make our computers run faster; this is because intelligence moves matter into patterns and distributions that are against the grain of all other known forces acting on intelligence’s creations.

    But we do expect that, over time, a large clump of interstellar gas will coalesce into a solar system with planets on which chemical reactions will lead to greater and more diverse chemical reactions, entirely by natural forces.

    LoL! You forgot to explain those “natural forces”- as far as you know they are artificial forces…

  37. Appeals to authority are fallacious.

    Nope. I appeal to authority to refute the nonsense of the people who just don’t know and to support my claims.

    Who or what else should I appeal to support my claims about what evolutionary biologists say about the ToE?

  38. Joe G: Strange that the whole world is still waiting for positive evidence for materialism.

    from elsewhere: “The evidence for materialism is overwhelming. Nearly any aspect of the mind — temperament, memories, appetite, and so on — can be disrupted by damage to specific areas of the brain. Modern brain imaging techniques can even detect brain activity correlated with thought.”

    What evidence do you have for non-materialism?

  39. Rich: The evidence for materialism is overwhelming

    LoL! So a bald asserttion is evidence for materialism? And just because “Nearly any aspect of the mind — temperament, memories, appetite, and so on — can be disrupted by damage to specific areas of the brain.” does not mean materialism is supported.

    Try again…

  40. Joe G:
    Evidence, not rhetoric, is required in this case.

    Strange that the whole world is still waiting for positive evidence for materialism.

    The whole world?

    And now you’re appealing to the authority of the whole world?

    LOL

  41. Sorry Joe, it show us that things that we once thought were immaterial aren’t. You’ve yet to proffer anything that is. But then again, you never advance positive arguments.

  42. Rich:
    Sorry Joe, it show us that things that we once thought were immaterial aren’t. You’ve yet to proffer anything that is. But then again, you never advance positive arguments.

    LoL! Who thought the brain was immaterial?

    But then again you always advance strawmen…

  43. And now you’re appealing to the authority of the whole world?

    No. I am just saying that materialism doesn’t have any positive support.

    However appealing to authority is much better than your appealing to your ignorance.

  44. I don’t think anyone says the “brain” is immaterial, but most ID advocates seem to think that mind is immaterial. Some have written books about it.

    So the challenge would be to demonstrate the existence of a mind sans brain.

  45. Joe G,

    Joe G: “LoL! So a bald asserttion is evidence for materialism? And just because “Nearly any aspect of the mind — temperament, memories, appetite, and so on — can be disrupted by damage to specific areas of the brain.” does not mean materialism is supported.

    Try again…”

    Please think about this.

    Why do we hallucinate then when we are very tired?

    If the brain and mind were separate, a tired brain may find concentration difficult, but a brain on its own should not be able to do what a separate mind does, and that is generate new “information” in the form of a hallucination.

    If the brain could do this, there would be no use for a separate mind, since that functionality would be proven to exist in a brain on its own.

    So, if we can generate mind functionality with the brain alone, that would seem to indicate that a separate mind does not exist.

  46. Rich: Sorry Joe,the starwman, or at least misunderstanding is yours:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dualism_(philosophy_of_mind)

    Why don’t you show me a positive argument for ID, so I can see one?

    Why do you avoid the question?

    Who thought the brain was immaterial?

    And you need to present positive evidence for your position so I will know what you will accept- I have already presented positive evidence for ID. Yet you can’t even produce a testable hypothesis for materialism.

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