KF vs Toronto & Petrushka

Over at UD, KF has started a new thread criticizing Toronto.  He had earlier started a thread criticizing Petrushka.

It would have been nicer if KF had joined here to launch his criticism, instead of taking pot shots from UD where it is my understanding that both Toronto and Petrushka have been banned.

In any case, this is where the two accused can set the record straight by explaining what they actually meant.  Others can join in.  I may add something later.

Let’s keep it polite.  No character attacks.  Let’s stick to clear explanations of positions that KF might have misunderstood.  And let’s remember the rules of The Skeptical Zone and keep it civil.

Open for discussion.

192 thoughts on “KF vs Toronto & Petrushka

  1. kairosfocus: “When it comes to Joe, you will see that we have corrected him across time towards civility and anger management, and you can see my response to him just above. I am willing to tolerate those who slip up an have to be restrained, but I am not willing to go along with willful persistent abuse. “

    There is no hope of a real discussion with your side if you treat us as being less civil than someone like Joe.

     

  2. So Allan Miller was wrong- I did NOT post “a gynaecologist’s-eye-view of a lady’s genitalia to several locations”. I posted it to one- the swamp atbc.

    I apologise and stand corrected, Joe. You posted only a link to such a picture at other locations, the actual picture once. I may have been too distracted to distinguish the different media.

  3. Incidentally – in what I’m sure will look like undiluted hypocrisy – I have no interest in getting Joe banned from anywhere. “little children run around as tattle-tales” is fair comment – though I would point out who alerted KF to posts at TSZ in the first place!

    But when people start booming sonorously across the Net, on matters with a factual record, it does seem reasonable to try and get the facts straight. KF took clear and ongoing offence at the ‘porn’ joke, and while he may continue to do so, it was intended and read by most in a different spirit, with a particular context.

    But glass houses and all that … I don’t claim my internet record is spotless. Further details will NOT be forthcoming! ;)

    • I have nothing to add to this merriment. My friendly advice to Barry, KF, et al, is to try to look at UD through the eyes of a child. Is this really the face of ID you want young onlookers to see? Fearful and intolerant? You are, after all, in the education business.

  4. A comment on Kairosfocus’s abduction to arrive at a best explanation for the OOL.

    A is known to be a source of B

    No other source of B is known.

    Therefore, I infer that A is the best available explanation of any B.

    That kind of abduction seems to work well when A and B are specific well described things. Humans and written language, for example. If archaeologists discovered an ancient tablet with symbols that appeared to be writing, they could reasonably infer that humans were responsible. It’s not a proof. Aliens could conceivably have visited the planet and done some scribblings, for example, but humans are currently by far the best explanation.

    The above type of abduction is what Kairosfocus seems to believe he’s doing.

    But this is what Kairosfocus really does.

    A is known to be a source of B

    No other source of B is known

    Therefore, I infer that an unknown C which shares a property with A is the best explanation of any D which is similar or analogous to B, and could be given the same broad description.

    And he ends up with non-living intelligent designers, something not known to exist, as a best explanation for the origin of life.

     

    • Which does not prove he is wrong, except for it being the best explanation. What I got dumped into moderation for was asking for an example in the history of science where a non regular cause was found to be the best explanation. A precedent.

      Of course they keep fine tuning as the ace up their sleeve.

      And gpuccio has his invisible continually interacting bit twiddlers that hide behind stochatsic events.

      But I admire this a lot. It is the simplest and clearest exposition I’ve seen of the argument.

  5. kairosfocus: “First, as I have repeatedly pointed out — including just now to Joe — I do not control UD’s mod policy. “

    The whole point of mentioning Joe is to highlight the behaviour of KF.

    KF is okay with the incivility of people who behave like Joe but is NOT okay with the type of people who would NOT put up with his behaviour, meaning this site.

    It is you KF and Barry who are being judged here.

     

  6. Petrushka: Of course they keep fine tuning as the ace up their sleeve.

    Fine tuning? IDists spend a lot of time making arguments that imply that the world was not fine tuned for the existence of the life forms we observe. Intervention was required.

    Fine tuning is actually a prediction of naturalism. It is compatible with supernaturalism, but not predicted by it.

    • Well let’s not require consistency of ID proponentsists. Fine tuning is the castle keep when all other defences fail. It is Michael Denton’s current position. Something I tried to point out when I was allowed to post. I have nothing against it as a mystical feel good philosophy.

      It’s certainly more parsimonious than gpuccio’s recurring gardener, or the notion that DNA computes solutions to satisfy need.

  7. William J Murray:”We should conduct a poll to see who believes they have free will, and just toss out everyone who is so insane that they believe they can engage in a meaningful argument without it. “

    Looks like another purge coming.

    This means they will have to ban Dembski for giving up his free will to disbelieve in a historical Noah’s flood, even though he believed science did not back up that event.

    Dembski was that close to being free to think for himself, but then the theists in his workplace, including his boss, stopped him in his tracks.

     

     

    • Perhaps they should toss out everyone who is so insane as to believe that they have free will and that the Intelligent Designer can be omniscient at the same time.

    • Very true.

      Also, if the prophecy is that Jesus will die on the cross, does Pontius Pilate have the free will to spare him?

       

    • It would save them much grief if they just closed comments. Since they have no respect for anyone who takes a different view – such people are frequently cast as possessed of some mental deficiency – they could save themselves the trouble of having to correct their opinions by not allowing them to be aired in the first place. 

      WJM is still pursuing the ‘irrationality’ of the subjective moralist. It strikes me that a rock-paper-scissors matrix could be constructed. Four players, 2xSM and 2xOM. None of them agrees with any other. SM vs SM – it’s a draw. Neither has a ‘rational’ basis for their morality (per WJM). SM vs OM – OM wins, because their morality comes from outside, and is therefore rational (per WJM). But OM vs OM … surely, again, it is a dead heat? Both have the ‘rational’ grounds of believing in Objective Morality. But their respective OM tells them two different things. So it appears that everyone is either a Subjective-Moral-Relativist or an Objective-Moral-Relativist. Since one cannot live as if that is true (per WJM), all players spontaneously combust in a puff of logic. Game Over.

  8. kairosfocus:”So, objectors to design theory, the ball is in your court. (NB: Inputs are also welcome from design theory supporters.) “

    The ball “might” be in our court if UD had not banned us even though every single one of us has shown more civility than Joe.

    It “might” also be in our court if you had the courage to post here.

    But no ID ball is in our court until ID offers up a workable mechanism like evolutionists have.

    For instance, do you have anything like a “design simulator” that would be able to target the specific functionality of an irreducibly complex biological entity that would function in a future environment that does not exist today.

    Weasel, as simple as it is, shows one aspect of evolution, i.e. selection, at work.

    Do you have anything like that?

     

  9. Joe:”Hellooooo- weasel is a targeted search, which makes it a design mechanism, not a blind and undirected mechanism. “

    The algorithm does NOT know the target.

    The algorithm is presenting an output, a “child”, which is selected by the “environment”, a char string, which might be equal to “Joe”.

    If at any time the “environment” gets changed to “Bob”, even in the middle of the process, the algorithm will start to favour “children” that most closely resemble “Bob”.

    The algorithm, or “mechanism”, doesn’t change, only the selection pressure caused by the “environment”.

    Now show one of your simulated “designer” models demonstrating the ability of foresight, which is needed for the “specification” component of an “irreducibly complex design”.

     

  10. Joe: “Unfortunately for “onlooker” the words of an anonymous poster ring quite hollow.

    The posters over on TSZ are uncivil wrt to IDists and creationists. OTOH I am “uncivil” to those uncivilized evos.”

    KF is an anonymous poster too.

    Saying you can be uncivil to those who are uncivil suggests that if your wife cheats on you, you are allowed a free affair of your own.

    Do you think that is moral?

     

  11. kairosfocus:”The notion that a serious and genuinely civil objector cannot post over an extended period at UD is patently false. “

    Empirical data proves you wrong.

    Barry has banned posters without regard to civility.

    The empirical data shows that UD censors opinions of objectors to ID.

    Sal actually went and modified “Maus”‘s comments by taking out the vowels.

    Barry deleted comments of posters for asking him to explain his position before answering a true/false question.

    That’s not respectful behaviour.

    If an ID initiative came up before a school board, I would use UD as an example of censorship by the ID community, something that school children should not be subjected to.

    Show some courage.

     

    • Show the existence of any ID critics other than famous bloggers and authors that have survived more than six months at UD. Go back to the post that got Petrushka banned and tell me what incivility I exhibited. 

      As far as I can tell, anyone who disagrees with the management and sticks to a principled argument will be banned. But not before being called immoral communist nazi dupes and agents, or the equivalent. 

      There’s an entire thread listing just some of the posters who have been banned. None of them were as uncivil as KF and Joe are routinely.

      To be completely fair, I think it is reasonable to ban people who make offensive comments at other sites. But after being banned for  opinions rather than for incivility, there’s no point in pretending to respect the people who banned you.

      Respect is due to people who respond to your arguments and who do not delay or hedge or make promises before disappearing for weeks at a time.

      One thing about me that is slightly different from many ID critics is I am not afraid of being wrong. I have consistently said that if sequence space is as sparse as KF claims it to be, that is a big problem for evolution. In that sense, KF’s argument is scientific.

      Now it is up to KF to answer Thornton and Lenski and others who have explored actual evolutionary scenarios and who have found that three step functional inventions are possible, even in the short time available in controlled experiments.

      It’s back to you. KF.

    • if sequence space is as sparse as KF claims it to be

      I’m too pressed for time to dig it out, but I found a fascinating paper that generated 1.5 million ‘random’ completely synthetic 105-residue peptides based upon a simple rule that ensured that they folded. Several sequences from this library rescued E Coli knockouts, despite having no sequential or structural relation to the deleted protein. This shows a remarkable degree of functional richness in the region of protein space that enzymes actually occupy. It isn’t ‘new’ function, but does give a rough guide to the extent to which proteins other than the ones we actually have at a particular locus would have done the job. I’ll try and find it when I’ve been for a run.

  12. I’m shocked that kairosfocus has forgotten basic programming.

    1)  TargetString = “Methinks it is like a weasel”.

      <algorithm/mechanism converges to TargetString>

    2)  TargetString = “What a lovely day today is”.

      <algorithm/mechanism converges to TargetString>

     

    Notice that the algorithm, ( the mechanism), doesn’t change while the resulting output, ( the “child”) does.

    Same mechanism, different “offspring”.

     

  13. KF writes:

    Seversky: Weasel, as simple as it is, shows one aspect of evolution, i.e. selection, at work.

    Do you have anything like that?

    Obviously, T has failed to do basic homework and does not know that Dawkins has admitted that Weasel is a pre-loaded targetted search. Cf here.

    Weasel just shows that selection works it is a child’s toy compared to what can be and has been done with genetic algorithms. If you want an example of a toy algorithm that uses Markov selection and is a notch more interesting than Weasel, try this:

    http://itatsi.com  click the Start button.

    It has no goal and no target. Just a sparse functional landscape in which the drunk can walk in any direction and arrive at any destination. It does not claim to be a model of evolution, but it is a demonstration that functionality (in this case, long words) can be reached by a drunkard’s walk.

    There are around four billion possible ten letter strings and just a few thousand ten letter words, and yet these words can be reached by the drunk. Even more interesting to me, the drunk can reach ten letter strings that are not in the dictionary, but look like words, are pronounceable, and sometimes meaningful. In other words, the program invents new words.

    But even this is just a toy. It was written to demonstrate that a sparse functional space can be explored without having a target.

  14. kairosfocus: “All that is required is that a designer is POSSIBLE, not impossible. “

    Then SHOW that a designer is possible.

    Let’s say I’m the designer and I  want to design a life form that will work 100 years from now at the north pole.

    How do I know whether there will still be ice there?

    What kind of food would be available in a hundred years?

    How do I know if a >500 bit change in the DNA will result in the change I want for an environment that I can’t determine?

    If your designer doesn’t have the answers to these questions, the existence of your designer is more unlikely than evolution.

     

     

  15. kairosfocus: “You know or should know that I have publicly rebuked Joe for his behaviour, explaining why it is wrong and should be corrected. Joe is on probation and is subject to further action at UD. I do not control moderation at UD, as I have stated. 

    ……………………………

    THAT, FYI is the sort of reason why I will not come into your lair at TSZ or elsewhere. “

    It is your decision to NOT come here because of the way we behave, but you have also decided that you WILL contribute to a site that houses the incivility of Joe.

    It’s not Joe that’s the problem, it’s you.

    You can’t claim we’re too uncivil for you anymore as you accept Joe’s civility to be good enough for you at UD.

     

     

  16. Joe: “Take away the personal attacks on myself and other IDists and Creationists, take away the equivocations, lies and misrepresenations, and I can be as civil as anyone can be. “

    If you cheat on your wife, does she have a right to a free affair?

    Bad behaviour on the part of subject A does not justify the same behaviour from subject B.

    Ask WJM about morality.

     

  17. Joe: “Who wants to post on a forum in which he just gets personally attacked? “

    Then tell Barry to clean up his act and start treating fellow debaters with respect.

     

    • I understand the desire to correct the nonsense being spewed on UD (SIWOTI!), but this dual-blog exchange just gives the IDCists the attention they want without the need to venture from behind the safety of Barry’s skirts in their echo chamber.

      Of course I can’t control anyone else’s behavior, nor would I want to, but I’m choosing to respond only to those with the minimal intellectual courage required to post here.

    • That makes for a lot of empty weeks.

      In my view there is an obsession with winning at the expense of communication. I’ve seen this from both sides.

      Of course I think the other side is the guiltier. why else would they ban and censor people who don’t violate they written rules?

      And speaking of written rules, what sense does it make to have a rule that your core positions are out of bounds? What sense does it make to assert the very claims that are being questioned are already answered?

      But I have enjoyed a few moments when the opposition engaged in conversation rather than holy war. Such moments are rare.

       

  18. Toronto,

    Good point, and I had every intention of doing that before I started! 

    It’s a daily struggle.  I was clean for Lent, but fell off the wagon a couple of weeks ago.  I’m better now.
     

  19. petrushka,

    That makes for a lot of empty weeks.

    In my view there is an obsession with winning at the expense of communication. I’ve seen this from both sides.

    While this probably violates Lizzie’s site rules, I don’t believe the denizens of UD specifically or the intelligent design creationists more generally are interested in bidirectional communication.

    The fact is that there is no scientific theory, or even hypothesis, of intelligent design.  It explains no observations and makes no predictions.  There is no reasonable doubt after this many years that ID is anything other than a fundamentalist Christian political movement.

    The only reason to pay any attention to the IDCists is because of the political power their base wields.  It is important to prevent them from destroying science education.  If they didn’t pose that threat, they’d be of no more intellectual interest than the flat earthers or Velikovskyites.

    So you’re damn right — our focus has to be on winning.

    But I have enjoyed a few moments when the opposition engaged in conversation rather than holy war. Such moments are rare.

    I enjoy a good debate more than most. It would, however, be foolish to ignore the history and clear goals of our interlocutors. These people want their religion in our schools. They must be stopped.

    • I appreciate that there is a political aspect to this, but that is beyond my power to control. My interest is to sharpen my own understanding. I have no personal gut fear of being wrong. I’m not even particularly fearful of having my ignorance — of which there is quite a bit — exposed.

      I just enjoy the discussion. I’m not dancing in the streets in pre-celebration. I’m just expressing my interested in having a clean give and take discussion.

  20. I would like to post an open challenge to KF. Since he wants a thread “for the record,” I would like to go one on one with KF. I would prefer that other posters abstain, but that is not a requirement.

    All I ask is that this take place where I can post. I’m willing to do it at UD, even if I am only allowed to post on one thread for a limited time. My only demand is that I will not be censored unless I engage in name-calling or some equivalent infraction. By limited time I mean at least a week.

    The topic I suggest is whether ID or evolution is the best explanation for the diversity of life. If the discussion takes place, I will elaborate on this.

    So it’s in your court KF. Are you willing to take on one lone evolutionist for a time limited discussion?

    • Thanks Joe, for posting a link to my challenge. I will allow KF to determine how he wants to present his case. The only limits I request is that the discussion be limited to biological facts and theories and not wander into politics. I don’t mind if KF brings up politics, philosophy and theology, but I don’t intend to respond, because I have no knowledge in these areas.

      My desire is to have a conversation, a give and take, rather than a debate. But again, I’m not fussy about how other people characterize it.

    • I’m willing to do it at UD

      Not that I expect kairosfocus to take up your challenge, but if he does I hope that you will post a copy of your comments here or in some other venue not subject to UD control.

    • I appreciate your calling attention to this, Joe, but I think KF can evaluate the prospects for himself. He is free to define ID any way he pleases, and he is free to correct any definition I might present.

      It will presumably be his thread, so he will have the ability to counter anything I say using any argument he chooses.I merely stipulate that I have no training or experience in philosophy or theology. So I may not have any response in those areas.

  21. Petrushka,

    I mentioned in a reply upthread that I had a paper illustrating a function-richness in a small area of ‘protein sequence space’ that helps shed some empirical light on the question, preferable to the heat of competing assertions. I had thought about submitting it as a ‘journal club’ post.

    here

    The authors constructed a library of 1.5 million 102-acid peptides, designed to fold in 4-helix bundles but with no design of function. 27 ‘natural’ genes of considerably greater length and structural complexity in E. Coli were deleted, and the library assayed on the basis of ability to get these mutants growing again.

    And of their library of 1.5 million, they found 18 artifical sequences, with no designed homology to the deleted proteins, that were nonetheless able to rescue function in four of the 27 knockouts. Bearing in mind that the search was restricted to functional analogues of just 27 proteins, this is quite an impressive hit rate.

    There are 4000 other genes in E. coli. It is highly unlikely that they just struck lucky with the genes they chose. More likely is that this library, a tiny subset of the 20^102 20-acid possibilities, itself a subset of larger proteins, is rich with function, if we could assay the whole of the protein set with the ease we can plate out E. Coli nutritional mutants. And if we could extend the assay to the 10′s of thousands of proteins in millions of other species …

    This paper also demonstrates the extensive chemical redundancy of the genetic code – their method of building the helixes exploited this feature. Calculations of the type I just did – 20^102 – are extremely misleading in the huge numbers they yield, and the frequent assertions that 20 acids are some kind of magic number for function are simply biochemically naive.

    Design fans will point out that these peptides are not truly ‘random’ – but then, neither are evolved ones. Apart from the dawn of protein synthesis, evolution starts from something that already works: a folded functional catalyst. So excluding random peptides that do not fold is entirely legit. There is, by the same token, no reason to suppose that proteins that fold in this particular way are anything special. Either way, for obvious reasons, you have to do some restriction. There is not enough carbon in the world to make every possibility.

    They will also point out that this is not new function – but it nonetheless demonstrates that ‘landing’ on a different function is much more likely, given a function-rich space, than is hoped for in the ID world.

    Also worth noting that this work was not aimed at assaying sequence space for function richness, per se, but simply trying to find functional synthetic peptides.  

    There’s a lot more I’d like to say, but it’s hard to get it all in a blog comment. I can hear the ID enthusiast yelling “red herring nice strawman!” as I type, which is rather distracting!

  22. I’m embarassed.   Apparently part of KF’s massive reply was aimed at me, and I just didn’t notice it!   At one point, after describing other people’s arguments and rejecting them, he says:

    KF: JF then goes on to suggest that the origin of two sites worth of information and a hypothetical example are adequate to overturn the observations on the source of FSCO/I and the analysis that shows why 500 bits of de novo information is a reasonable threshold for de novo info from an arbitrary start point being reasonably attributed to intelligence.

    Of course, beginning in an existing island of function and moving around a few bits at a time through some form of hill climbing is not relevant to the matter, as it begs the question at stake: how to get to the shores of an island of function across a deep isolational barrier from an arbitrary initial condition. And that basic challenge does not begin from already existing life — a big begged question — but from some warm little pond or the like pre-biotic environment.

    He is referring to my comment in this thread on 25 August above, where I am pointing out that William Dembski’s Law of Conservation of Complex Specified Information is both unproven, and in the form in which it is stated, unable to show that one cannot accumulate 500 bits of Complex Specified Information (even if the theorem were proven).  In my earlier post (linked in the preceding comment) I showed a simple numerical example of the accumulation of 100 bits of CSI.

    KF misunderstands Dembski’s argument.  It is not about islands of function, and it is intended to apply to evolution after the Origin Of Life.

    KF: This issue is often begged in the context where there is no empirically supported causally adequate chance and necessity mechanism to get us from chemicals in a pond or the like to a functioning, encapsulated and gated, metabolising digital coded information using self replicating form. But, observed cell based life is full of things that in any other context would be immediately recognised as strong and reliable signs of design: digital code, algorithms, organised information processing and cybernetic machinery etc etc etc.

    Sorry, Dembski is not talking only about prebiotic evolution, he means his argument to apply to evolution after the OOL.   I can only suppose that KF feels Dembski’s argument does not apply for evolution after the OOL.  (Would that mean that KF thinks that more than 500 bits of CSI could get into the genome after the OOL?)  I have read Dembski very carefully and it is quite clear that he does not restrict his theorem to the OOL.

  23. I posted this further up the thread:

    A comment on Kairosfocus’s abduction to arrive at a best explanation for the OOL.

    A is known to be a source of B

    No other source of B is known.

    Therefore, I infer that A is the best available explanation of any B.

    That kind of abduction seems to work well when A and B are specific well described things. Humans and written language, for example. If archaeologists discovered an ancient tablet with symbols that appeared to be writing, they could reasonably infer that humans were responsible. It’s not a proof. Aliens could conceivably have visited the planet and done some scribblings, for example, but humans are currently by far the best explanation.

    The above type of abduction is what Kairosfocus seems to believe he’s doing.

    But this is what Kairosfocus really does.

    A is known to be a source of B

    No other source of B is known

    Therefore, I infer that an unknown C which shares a property with A is the best explanation of any D which is similar or analogous to B, and could be given the same broad description.

    And he ends up with non-living intelligent designers, something not known to exist, as a best explanation for the origin of life.

     

    Kairosfocus replies on U.D. The bits in brackets [like this] are my comments on his reply.

    Looks like Dr Who is trying for at least a bronze in the poster-child category: “this is what Kairosfocus really does.

    A is known to be a source of B

    No other source of B is known

    Therefore, I infer that an unknown C which shares a property with A is the best explanation of any D which is similar or analogous to B, and could be given the same broad description.

    And he ends up with non-living intelligent designers, something not known to exist, as a best explanation for the origin of life.”

    He apparently does not realise that the challenge he imagines is unique to design theory is faced by all forms of scientific investigation. As the OP above shows, the way we look at the issue in science is we examine causal factors that reliably produce as reliable signs, the traces we have from the unobserved past. On that we may make an inductive inference to best current, and provisional explanation. As, with all of science on the past of origins.

    But to avoid acknowledging that, DW plays a strawman tactic:

    [Strange. There's nothing in my post to indicate any of this. Quite the opposite. I give an example of a reasonable abduction in archaeology. But let's go on to my supposed strawman.]


    I infer that an unknown C which shares a property with A is the best explanation of any D which is similar or analogous to B

    KF: Simply wrong.

    FSCO/I is a very familiar entity and it is well known that it comes from design, and on the needle in the haystack analysis, it is not plausible that it should result from the other source of high contingency, chance, on its own or in concert with mechanical necessity [which is NOT a source of high contingency].

    All that is required is that a designer is POSSIBLE, not impossible.

    [Well, my point has been missed. To make inductions and abductions, make sure the "As" and "Bs" remain the same things, and keep them as specific and well defined as possible. If you observe that some "FSCO/I" is produced by humans (A), then infer that all of it is. Also, make sure your "familiar entity" isn't too general. Remember, humans can intelligently design fire, hills, nuclear power sources, waterways and many other things that can be found in nature. Get more specific, and you've got campfires, burial mounds, nuclear power stations, and canals. You can see how you're less likely to make mistakes with your abduction the less general your "entity" is.

    Do you now understand what I mean by adding Cs and Ds to the As and Bs we should be sticking to?]

    KF:, one seemingly driven by DW’s own a priori commitment to materialism as a worldview:

    “he ends up with non-living intelligent designers, something not known to exist, as a best explanation for the origin of life.”

    [It does not require any kind of worldview to make the observation that no non-living intelligent designers have ever been discovered] 

     

     

  24. kairosfocus:”Only when there is a clear understanding of why the two sides take different positions across the range will we be able to resolve the matter properly. “

    I think all we should care about is what we teach students.

    Our side has a mechanism to offer, yours doesn’t.

    We can say, “This is how our theory works”, and you actually refuse to even make an effort to come up with one.

    Until you have a mechanism of your own that can replace ours, we are under no obligation to take you seriously.

     

  25. Hi, Kairosfocus.

    Let’s do abductive reasoning.

    Life is a chemical phenomenon.

    Unintelligent chemical processes are known to create chemical phenomena.

    Humans can intelligently design chemical phenomena.

    Humans were not present on the early earth when life first appeared.

    No other intelligent beings are known to be able to intelligently design chemical phenomena, or to have been present on the early earth.

    Therefore, I infer that unintelligent chemical processes are the best explanation for the origin of life.

    I hypothesise that chemical reactions and chemical evolution led to the first life form(s).

    Kairosfocus hypothesises that non-living intelligent designers created the first life forms.

    Chemical reactions and chemical evolution are both directly observed realities.

    Non-living intelligent designers have never been observed to scientific knowledge, and are not even known to be possible.

    Therefore, there is virtually infinitely more evidence for my hypothesis than K’s. Therefore, it is clearly the best current general explanation for the OOL.

    Here’s another example.

    Humans write books.

    There is no other known source of books.

    Therefore, human authorship is the best explanation for any book of unknown authorship, and it is reasonable to infer that all books were authored by humans.

    Do you agree that that’s good abductive reasoning, Kairosfocus?

    I ask, because it might not be popular at Uncomon Descent if applied to a certain famous ancient book.

    In fact, some of your colleagues might not be too fond of abductive reasoning in general.

  26. Joe: “Our mechanism is “design by an agency”. “

    If our mechanism was as non-existent as yours we would call it, “design by birth”.

     

  27. Thanks to keiths for pointing out this.

    Dembski: “Yes, these bacteria are gaining new information, but they are gaining it from their environments, environments that, presumably, need not be subject to intelligent guidance. “

    There it is, a gain of CSI without intelligence!

    kairosfocus and Joe, are you going to correct Dembski?

     

  28. kairosfocus: “You further know or should know that the critical issue with EL was, and is, enabling behaviour for the uncivil; “ 

    UD enables Joe.

    Are you going to keep posting there regardless?

     

  29. Joe: “We know there isn’t anything we can say to convince you of the merits of ID. “

    If CSI is information that necessarily is the result of an intelligence, you would have a much easier time of simulating it than we would an evolutionary model.

    Show in your model how you would analyze a future environment before you actually start designing the >500 bit biological change required.

    Note that I’m not even asking how to make the biological design change. I’m simply asking how would you identify the “specification” required in the future.

     

  30. Joe kindly attempts to reason with me on U.D.:

    Joe: “Earth to dr who:

    dr who: Kairosfocus asks whether or not abductive reasoning can be valid in science in his first point. I’ve agreed that it can be, and shown him how it’s done to effect, and what the results would be in relation to the OOL. I know what I’m doing, and why. I’ll explain in detail sometime.

    What is the evidence that life is ONLY a chemical phenomenon? Oh, that’s right there isn’t any such evidence so your “reasoning” fails at the start.

    Also Christians are OK with humans authoring the Bible.

    But please keep ignoring that and pressing on anyway. You make my point for me-> that it is a waste of time trying to reason with you.” /Joe

    I’ll take that to mean that Joe suspects that my reasoning to the best explanation would be correct on condition that there’s nothing other than chemicals in the basic physical composition of life. Otherwise, he’d have thought of a better objection.

    The evidence, Joe, is that’s all we observe when we actually physically examine life. Being a chemical phenomenon doesn’t mean that it can’t have emergent properties, which it certainly does have.

    As for the Christians, I’m glad to hear it, and delighted that they’ve all appointed Joe as their spokesperson.

    As for time wasting, Joe’s participation is entirely voluntary, and my post wasn’t addressed to him, but I always welcome his contribution as I personally regard him as one of I.D.’s finest thinkers. 

    • Joe still seems to want to try and make the case that life isn’t a chemical phenomenon on two more U.D. posts. I wonder whether he’ll realise that he’s undermining something that Kairosfocus claimed earlier on the same thread.

  31. The consistently foolish are the hobgoblins of little minds.

    It strikes me that he is undermining Upright BiPed also. If there’s anything admirable about UBP’s theory, it is its lack of ghosts in the machine. UBP seems to believe that ghosts created the machines, but he has ruled out spooks in the operation.

  32. kairosfocus: “Criterion of Adequacy (CoA):

    As evidence accumulates, the degree to which the collection of true evidence statements comes to support a hypothesis, as measured by the logic, should tend to indicate that false hypotheses are probably false and that true hypotheses are probably true.”

    The existence of a designer is itself an inductive argument.

    The designer’s abilities are also an inductive argument.

    How did you determine the designer exists?

    How did you determine his abilities?

    How much truth is there in these premises?

     

  33. So true.  Either the ghost is in the machine, or the ghost created the machine.  It can’t be both.  Or at least you can’t argue rationally that it’s both. 

    This is one of the easiest ways to see that ID proponents are simply praising the lord, and nothing more.  You can’t argue on the one hand that an object is designed because it’s so complex, and then also argue that the object needs miraculous intervention to work.  But that’s exactly what ID proponents argue at every level from the atom to the entire universe.   

     

     

        

  34. Is it me, or has the whole ID “movement” degenerated into a series of individuals talking past each other?
    There seems to be some serious mutual undermining going on, with not one of ‘em bothering to try and understand the import of what any of the others are trying to say. 

  35. kairosfocus: “What I laid out is the Darwin’s pond challenge that Evo mat advocates have by implication set for themselves, and the big gap they face is where do functionally specific complex organisation and associated information come from once their favourite out, natural selection, is off the table at OOL “

    A good design question that asks, where does the designer get the information for the functionality required in a future environment that does not yet exist?

     

     

  36. kairosfocus: “The key way out of it is the multiplication of lines of investigation that are sufficiently distinct that massive coincidence is ever more unlikely. “

    So if design is likely, but a designer with the necessary abilities is not, where does that leave the possibility of ID?

     

  37. I simply cannot penetrate KFs latest ‘questions’ post. We take a long time to get to any questions – half a post in and we’re still smarting over the very notion that one could say ‘don’t link to porn’ in a lighthearted manner (ask Joe – he appears to have a sense of humour), and lots of old-favourite expressions about distractions and attacks. All of this bluster from KF seems designed to distract from a fundamental lack of substance.

    I haven’t seen any attempt to address the apparently significant density of functional packing of protein space on an evolutionary scenario, as per the several papers linked above and elsewhere. Instead, the goalposts have moved yet again, back to the OoL – a process about which we know next to nothing. And KF demands to know how we got ‘information’ out of this unknown process. Since we know nothing about it, we really cannot say whether it was within or outside some arbitrarily-assigned ‘probability bound’. Nor can they say how any designer got round the various problems, come to that (including his existence), rendering this a pointless set of questions – “how do YOU explain something whose parameters and constraints are unknown?”. Dunno.

    Now KF and Joe insist that nucleotide translation is NOT a chemical process.

    Joe: For the record, the translation of nucleotides into amino acids is not a chemical reaction and cannot be described by chemical reactions.

    KF: Not only so, but the CCA- coupler is a universal joint in the tRNA. It is the “loading enzyme” — note the Chicken-egg loop — that determines which AA goes with which tRNA. In short, this is an INFORMATIONAL correspondence, not a chemical one.

    Anyone with a basic grounding in biochemistry would be able to point out how utterly wrong this is. Is it because there is hydrogen bonding involved? Is that not felt to be ‘chemistry’, but instead some form of ‘informatic’ exchange? Is the hydrogen bonding in protein folding ‘informatic’ too, or that which keeps your hair from falling out, or water liquid to 100 degrees?

    The distinctive bases distal to the tRNA ACC stem form a particular shape, with vital hairpin motifs and certain essential base pairs, all with a 3D shape. They are bound by hydrogen bonds, not ‘informatic bonds’, in the ‘loading enzyme’. Only the right shape will bind, but this is a property common to all enzymes – chemical catalysts one and all, with substrate recognition by shape, charge density and hydrogen bonding. There is nothing different about the ACC stem in this regard, while the supposedly ‘informatic’ anticodon does not come into tRNA recognition.

    ATP is then covalently bonded to the amino acid, which is then esterified to the Acceptor. This is chemistry. The tRNA anticodon hydrogen bonds to mRNA, which physically holds it in place by shape alignment enabling the energy of the amino-tRNA link to be transferred to drive peptide bond formation. Again, all chemistry. But not certain, nor even likely, to be involved in the OoL (about which, you will recall, we know nothing).  

    No doubt another million words are simmering on the matter of good faith, straw men and oil-soaked red herrings, with noises off – but I would prefer to see some basic knowledge of the chemistry of this process demonstrated by people who attempt to ‘correct’ the field on their understanding.

    • I’m eagerly awaiting UBP’s take on this, since he has 6000 posts invested in the necessarily physical implementation of information. I expect him to show up any minute. Not.

  38. I hadn’t noticed, either, that I got a couple of passing mentions in KF’s most recent jeremiad.  First, there’s this:

    Philip Johnson’s reply to Richard Lewontin on a priori materialism in science is a classic case in point – one that is often dismissed but (kindly note, Seversky et al) has never been cogently answered:

    I’m assuming this is Johnson:

    For scientific materialists the materialism comes first; the science comes thereafter. [[Emphasis original] We might more accurately term them “materialists employing science.” And if materialism is true, then some materialistic theory of evolution has to be true simply as a matter of logical deduction, regardless of the evidence. That theory will necessarily be at least roughly like neo-Darwinism, in that it will have to involve some combination of random changes and law-like processes capable of producing complicated organisms that (in Dawkins’ words) “give the appearance of having been designed for a purpose.”

     

    Personally, I prefer the term naturalism as science, in very simple terms, is the process of trying to understand the nature of things, nature being what makes something itself and not something else.

    Materialism is the view that the universe is composed of matter and energy in all their forms and nothing else.  It is the most rational position because, regardless of what Johnson and his sympathizers might hope and believe, no one has yet shown there is anything else.  For sure, there are many big unanswered questions such as why is there anything at all, where did it all come from and what about all the counter-intuitive weirdness at the quantum level, so there is still the possibility there is something else.  But that just means there are gaps, it doesn’t mean they’re plugged with whatever your preferred gap-filler might be.

    So, for want of anything better, I can live with materialism.

    Down-thread there is this:

    Oh well, let’s see if Toronto has done the simple thing of checking what Seversky’s much despised longstanding presentations address.

     

    I must say I’m curious to know what these ” much despised longstanding presentations” are.

    The comment goes on to talk about Dawkins’s WEASEL illustration, which has been dealt with at tedious length elsewhere, and the presence of design.

    KF and other IDeologues give the impression that “evo-mats” are somehow denying the existence of design in the universe.  Well, we don’t.  We know full well there is.  It’s us.  We do it.  What IDeologues have yet to do is show there is anyone or anything else doing it.

    Speaking for myself, I’m quite comfortable with the possibility of extra-terrestrial intelligent designers.  Maybe the universe is teeming with ETs designing things willy-nilly all over the place.   Maybe, they’re wasting vast sums on Einstein-Rosen Bridges to Nowhere.  (I’m willing to bet they’ll all be material, too.)  The only thing we have to worry about is if any of them start having designs on our little corner of the galaxy.  But that’s just the stuff of science-fiction.  So far.

    And if there are, so what?  It doesn’t answer fundamental questions like who, if anyone, designed the designers and why is there anything rather than nothing.

    As far as I can see, the existence of extra-terrestrial designers is only poses a problem for Christians since the existence of ETs could knock us off our perch as God’s special creation, His chosen people.

     

     

  39. Joe at UD:

    I see that Allan Miller has gone off of the edge- earth to Allan- there isn’t any physio-chemical connection between the nucleotide (codon) and the amino acid it represents- the codon does not become the amino acid via some chemical reaction.

    Yes there are chemical connections/ bonds between the nucleotides. Yes there are chemical connections/ bonds between the tRNA and its amino acid. Yes there are chemical connections/ bonds between the amino acids in the polypeptide. And all of that is irrelevant to what I said.

    Earth to Joe – how does “the translation of nucleotides into amino acids is not a chemical reaction” stop being ludicrous simply because there is not a direct chemical transformation of triplet into amino acid? Of course there is a physico-chemical connection between them! It is called tRNA. The linkage just happens to occur via a series of intermediates operating on one part of the molecule or the other, and those separate parts do not interact directly during the process. But saying there is none is akin to saying that there is no connection between one end of a stick and the other, or between the slots into which the respective ends fit, because none becomes the other.

    The informatic element is imparted by us – we give letters to the bases and the acids, we can look up the relationships in tables, and they occur in strings that we can intone “Shannon” or “Kolmogorov” over. But as far as the interaction is concerned, it is entirely physical, with no more ‘informatic’ quality than the rest of chemistry. Products of one enzyme become substrates for another, and this system is the same. It simply happens that one substrate here is large, and different enzymes act on different parts of this large molecule.

    A series of 3 RNA bases – AUG, say – is simply a 3D arrangement of atoms, with which other arrangements of atoms interact. There is nothing about this that distinguishes it from any other biochemical arrangement. Either every molecule is ‘informational’, or none of them are. I could buy that they all are, in the same way that there is ‘information’ in a landscape that one could process by riding a bike across it. But the biochemical interactors of translation are ‘informationally’ distinct from every other? Typical map/territory confusion. We just call it translation.

  40. Kairosfocus responds to my abductive reasoning example with a post on the “For record” thread at U.D. I’m going to try to illustrate what he’s doing with abduction again, not for the purpose of stimulating lots of “righteous” indignation on his part, but in the hope that he might take some of the points on board.

    KF clearly wants to make the case that life is intelligently designed.

    Imagine I want to make the case that an unknown intelligent designer has designed something, and to do so in a way that seems to involve normal scientific abductive or inductive reasoning. I have only humans and their designs to point to as known examples of high level I.D. (other animals aren’t much use).

    So, here’s what I can do. I want to make the case firstly for rivers at a time in human history when we did not understand their formation.

    A can be observed to cause B.

    For this observation, I don’t want to restrict “A” to “human designers”, because then my “A” won’t cover the unknowns. So I go for the more general “intelligent designers”. I don’t want to restrict “B” to canals, because they’re not rivers, so I go for the more general waterways.

    And it appears to work, assuming a GAP in human knowledge on how rivers form.

    A is an observed cause of B

    We know of no other cause of B.

    Therefore, we can infer that the river Nile was intelligently designed.

    To support that, I could point out how incredibly improbable it is that nature would have hit the target of a river with the exact specifications of the Nile (exact length, width in all places, depth in all places), and add a Texas Sharpshooter fallacy to support my basic induction.

    KF points out, and I agree, that humans might well actually design our own life forms in the future from scratch. However, this doesn’t solve the problem, because we know that we still can’t justifiably broaden “A” from humans to “intelligent designers”. We make actual lakes, and one made by us damming a stream is essentially the same as one made by a landslide doing the same. But the inductive inference to design of lakes does not follow.

    So why does this process seem so promising to the likes of KF for the OOL? Simply because it’s a gap in our knowledge, combined with the fact that being designed is obviously personally and emotionally important to them.

    So, we’ve got the designer of the gaps. And this shows when “evo-mats” are asked for the details on how life came about naturally, whereas I.D., of course, does not have to deal with such a “pathetic level” of detail, as William Dembski would have it. It is not a mechanistic theory.

    I personally see no theory at all, and no established mechanism because living intelligence cannot be responsible for the first life.

    Dead intelligence? Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.

    And please, KF, don’t reply that expecting naturalistic causes for life is “extraordinary” without providing examples of established instances of supernatural causation of observed phenomena in this world.

    • This illustrates the most important objection to ID. Not that it is proven wrong but that it short circuits curiosity and diminishes the desire to find natural regularities. The search for regularity is practically synonymous with science.

  41. kairosfocus loses focus:

    DrWho: “Kairosfocus hypothesises that non-living intelligent designers created the first life forms.

    kairosfocus: [g –> This is now so much of an insistent distortion in the teeth of repeated correction and duties of care to fairness and accuracy that it is a lie, a statement in willful disregard to the truth, hoping to profit by it being perceived as the truth.

    If “non-living” intelligent designers did NOT create life then it must have been “living” designers that created life.

    More circular thinking.

     

  42. Barry: “UD Editors:  No one has come close to refuting UB’s thesis after 129 comments.”

    Onlookers will notice that TSZ successfully refuted every claim he made.

    • I forget. What was his thesis, other than infomation is always physically instantiated, that information transfer is always physical, and that translation is analogous to code deciphering? I don’t believe we refuted that so much as wondered what it had to do with ID.

      Unless it was the claim that since humans are the only known entities that have made codes, they must have made the genetic code. Or something like that. I can never follow that.

    • His main focus seemed to be “recorded information” which begs the question, “Then who recorded that first information and how was it done?”

      He never said but he did dig himself a big hole in a wet lawn!

       

    • UB make this “case” every so often.  I can never get beyond the first three steps (his text in italics, my response in plain).

       

      1. A representation is an arrangement of matter which evokes an effect within a system (e.g. written text, spoken words, pheromones, animal gestures, codes, sensory input, intracellular messengers, nucleotide sequences, etc, etc).

      This includes all sorts of different things – but let’s go with it and see what happens.

      2. It is not logically possible to transfer information (the form of a thing; a measured aspect, quality, or preference) in a material universe without using a representation instantiated in matter.

      False – although exactly when it is false depends on what is meant by a representation. Suppose I want to inform someone that badgers regularly visit my garden. I can transfer this information in many ways

      1) Writing them a letter telling them. This presumably falls into the category UB was expecting.

      2) Showing them a footprint. This shows them the size and shape of the feet and thus informs them about at least this aspect of the animal. If they have background knowledge they may be able to learn more. Does a footprint count as a representation?

      3) Getting them to observe the trail leading to a badger! Is the trail the representation?

      4) Getting them to come along one night and see the badgers. Not sure what counts as the representation here

      3. If that is true, and it surely must be, then several other things must logically follow. If there is now an arrangement of matter which contains a representation of form as a consequence of its own material arrangement, then that arrangement must be necessarily arbitrary to the thing it represents. In other words, if one thing is to represent another thing within a system, then it must be separate from the thing it represents. And if it is separate from it, then it cannot be anything but materially arbitrary to it (i.e. they cannot be the same thing).

      This is quite hard to understand. In my examples above the footprint and the trail are definitely seperate from the badger – but materially arbitrary? – I really don’t know what that means.

    • Onlookers will notice that TSZ successfully refuted every claim he made.

      Indeed.  Barry needs to refine his statement to “No one we allow to comment here has bothered to refute UB’s thesis after 129 comments.”

      I’m trying not to give UD any additional traffic — has anyone bothered to reference the discussion here on those threads?
       

    • That seems to be a problem with UPB’s argument. The more you clarify it the less there is. The more you weed out obviously absurd interpretations and examples, the less relevant it is to biology.

      It boils down to chicken and egg. You can’t have one without the other. Therefore Designer. All the verbiage is horsefeathers.

    • Actually I think Barry is dissembling. Mphillips was well on the way to disemboweling UPB’s argument before KF’s warning and before Barry ditched the thread where mp had made some significant hits. This was a transparent effort to shove that down the memory hole.

      The fate of mphilips will remain one of those internet mysteries. I have a theory, but it will have to remain private.

  43. Joe: “Well TSZ claims to have refuted every one of UB’s claims. And if bald assertions, misrepresentations and nonsense were refutations they would have a point. “

    What about bald assertions of the existence of an intelligent designer?

    Do they count for your side?

     

  44. Upright Biped is reported as saying:’

    And if it is separate from it, then it cannot be anything but materially arbitrary to it (i.e. they cannot be the same thing).

    What a very curious – (and altogether wrong) use of the word “arbitrary” – which means “arrived at by free choice”

    It does not mean “separate”

    A badger’s tracks are anything but arbitrary. They are necessarily, and without choice, made by a badger – however far separated that badger may be from its tracks when they are seen.

    We can add the misuse of this word to that of “semiotic” and “protocol” in UB’s efforts.

    Come to think of it, he is assigning arbitrary meanings to these perfectly good words! – which is a thing to be avoided if one hopes to be understood
     

    • Come to think of it, he is assigning arbitrary meanings to these perfectly good words! – which is a thing to be avoided if one hopes to be understood

      Cui bono?

  45. kairosfocus: “A claimed cause of a effect must have empirical support that it is adequate. No observation, no empirical support. KF “

    Do you have empirical support that the designer, ID’s claimed cause of life, had adequate ability to cause the effect we call life?

    Have you ever observed the designer at work?

     

  46. UPB’s misunderstanding:

    RB: May, 2012

    “I assert (not suggest) that you do not understand entailment, and due to your failure to grasp entailment you have constructed an argument beset with a fatal logical flaw.”

    UB: June, 2012

    “Bill, if a specific thing only exist under specific conditions, then does it existence entail the existence of those specific conditions? Or is that illogical?”

    RB: June, 2012:

    Yes, it does. So that would be a valid use of “entailment.” …”

    UPB should read more carefully.

    In May, RB refers to an *invalid* use of entailment.

    In June, UPB demonstrates a *valid* use of entailment, i.e., not the *invalid* one in his “semiotic theory” argument.

    RB, points out that the June statement is a *valid* use of entailment.

    This in no way implies a change in opinion by RB that his “semiotic theory” argument is now considered by RB to be *valid*.

    I too agreed that this June statement by UPB is *valid* and also still consider his “semiotic theory” argument is still logically flawed.

     

  47. Joe: “Hey Toronto- how do we know someone had the ability to build Stonehenge? Answer = Stonehenge! “

    Hey Joe, how do we know “no designer required evolution” would result in us? Answer = us!

    Joe’s logic is even easier to use than UPB’s!

  48. Joe:”It didn’t result in us as we are not the result, just another link and we are not alone on this planet. “

    We are the result of either ID or “no designer required evolution”.

    Logically, the cause of us is either A or (~A) where A = ID.

    Agreed?

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